LIVE · Jackson Suber -5 thru 18 · Δ +17.3 ·· LIVE · Dan Brown -4 thru 18 · Δ +11.8 ·· LIVE · Sungjae Im -4 thru 18 · Δ +10.5 ·· LIVE · Francesco Molinari -3 thru 18 · Δ +5.3 ·· LIVE · Pierceson Coody -3 thru 18 · Δ +4.9 ·· LIVE · Thomas Detry -3 thru 18 · Δ +4.7 ·· LIVE · Jackson Suber -5 thru 18 · Δ +17.3 ·· LIVE · Dan Brown -4 thru 18 · Δ +11.8 ·· LIVE · Sungjae Im -4 thru 18 · Δ +10.5 ·· LIVE · Francesco Molinari -3 thru 18 · Δ +5.3 ·· LIVE · Pierceson Coody -3 thru 18 · Δ +4.9 ·· LIVE · Thomas Detry -3 thru 18 · Δ +4.7 ··
GOLF · LIVE RE-PROJECTION · ROUND 1
Live · The Open Championship.
Live standings joined to the model's re-projected remaining DK points — who's on pace, who's beating their pre-event number, and who's fading. Refreshes with every loop run during play.
PLAYERS
110
UPDATED
10:14 PM ET
MODEL
REPROJECT
THE BOARD
Standings, re-projected.
POS ↑
PLAYER
SCORE
THRU
P(WEEKEND)
REMAINING DK
Δ VS PACE
1
Jackson Suber
-5
18/18
94%
53.8
+17.3
T2
Sungjae Im
-4
18/18
90%
47.3
+10.5
T2
Dan Brown
-4
18/18
90%
44.5
+11.8
T4
Robert MacIntyre
-3
18/18
84%
48.5
+0.7
T4
Cameron Young
-3
18/18
84%
46.6
+1.6
T4
Bryson DeChambeau
-3
18/18
84%
43.2
+3.1
T4
Ryan Gerard
-3
18/18
84%
42.9
+3.1
T4
Alex Smalley
-3
18/18
84%
41.3
+3.8
T4
Thomas Detry
-3
18/18
84%
39.5
+4.7
T4
Pierceson Coody
-3
18/18
84%
38.9
+4.9
T4
Francesco Molinari
-3
18/18
84%
38
+5.3
T13
Scottie Scheffler
-2
18/18
75%
45.3
-11.1
T13
Si Woo Kim
-2
18/18
75%
36.5
-7.3
T13
Collin Morikawa
-2
18/18
75%
35.8
-6.9
T13
Bud Cauley
-2
18/18
75%
30.8
-4.8
T13
Nick Taylor
-2
18/18
75%
30.3
-4.7
T13
Jordan Smith
-2
18/18
75%
30.1
-4.5
T13
Sepp Straka
-2
18/18
75%
29.4
-4.2
T13
Ryo Hisatsune
-2
18/18
75%
28.7
-4
T24
Tommy Fleetwood
-1
18/18
63%
34
-12.3
T24
Jon Rahm
-1
18/18
63%
31.5
-11.2
T24
Tyrrell Hatton
-1
18/18
63%
28.7
-10
T24
Shane Lowry
-1
18/18
63%
28.4
-10
T24
Alex Fitzpatrick
-1
18/18
63%
27.7
-9.6
T24
Ben Griffin
-1
18/18
63%
26.8
-9.3
T24
Kurt Kitayama
-1
18/18
63%
25.9
-8.9
T24
Keegan Bradley
-1
18/18
63%
25.5
-8.6
T24
Kristoffer Reitan
-1
18/18
63%
24.8
-8.4
T24
Matt Wallace
-1
18/18
63%
24.6
-8.3
T24
Laurie Canter
-1
18/18
63%
21.6
-7
T24
Antoine Rozner
-1
18/18
63%
19.2
-6
T24
Shaun Norris
-1
18/18
63%
19.1
-6
T39
Viktor Hovland
E
18/18
50%
25.2
-10.8
T39
Russell Henley
E
18/18
50%
23.5
-10
T39
Justin Thomas
E
18/18
50%
23.1
-9.8
T39
Min Woo Lee
E
18/18
50%
23
-9.9
T39
Chris Gotterup
E
18/18
50%
23
-9.8
T39
Tom Kim
E
18/18
50%
22.7
-9.7
T39
J.J. Spaun
E
18/18
50%
22.3
-9.6
T39
Brooks Koepka
E
18/18
50%
19.8
-8.5
T39
Eugenio Chacarra
E
18/18
50%
19.5
-8.3
T39
Jacob Bridgeman
E
18/18
50%
19.1
-8.2
T39
Jayden Schaper
E
18/18
50%
17.5
-7.6
T39
Sami Valimaki
E
18/18
50%
17.4
-7.4
T39
Andy Sullivan
E
18/18
50%
17.1
-7.4
T39
Lucas Herbert
E
18/18
50%
17.1
-7.3
T39
Hennie Du Plessis
E
18/18
50%
16
-6.9
T60
Xander Schauffele
+1
18/18
37%
22.1
-9.5
T60
Ludvig Aberg
+1
18/18
37%
21.4
-9.1
T60
Patrick Cantlay
+1
18/18
37%
20.3
-8.7
T60
Aaron Rai
+1
18/18
37%
19.9
-8.5
T60
Rickie Fowler
+1
18/18
37%
18.3
-7.9
T60
Alex Noren
+1
18/18
37%
18.3
-7.8
T60
Maverick McNealy
+1
18/18
37%
18.3
-7.9
T60
Corey Conners
+1
18/18
37%
17.9
-7.7
T60
Akshay Bhatia
+1
18/18
37%
17.6
-7.6
T60
J.T. Poston
+1
18/18
37%
16.8
-7.3
T60
Tom McKibbin
+1
18/18
37%
16.5
-7.1
T60
Sahith Theegala
+1
18/18
37%
16.4
-7.1
T60
Max Homa
+1
18/18
37%
16.2
-6.9
T60
John Parry
+1
18/18
37%
16.1
-6.9
T60
Jake Knapp
+1
18/18
37%
16
-6.8
T60
Sam Stevens
+1
18/18
37%
15.7
-6.7
T60
Nico Echavarria
+1
18/18
37%
15.1
-6.5
T60
Rasmus Hojgaard
+1
18/18
37%
14.7
-6.3
T60
Bernd Wiesberger
+1
18/18
37%
14.6
-6.3
T60
Billy Horschel
+1
18/18
37%
14.1
-6
T60
Jose Luis Ballester
+1
18/18
37%
12.8
-5.5
T85
Rory McIlroy
+2
18/18
25%
21.4
-9.2
T85
Matt Fitzpatrick
+2
18/18
25%
21
-9
T85
Patrick Reed
+2
18/18
25%
16.8
-7.2
T85
Adam Scott
+2
18/18
25%
16.1
-6.8
T85
Nicolai Hojgaard
+2
18/18
25%
15.9
-6.8
T85
Hideki Matsuyama
+2
18/18
25%
15.7
-6.7
T85
Ryan Fox
+2
18/18
25%
14.8
-6.3
T85
Keith Mitchell
+2
18/18
25%
14.7
-6.3
T85
Michael Brennan
+2
18/18
25%
13.4
-5.7
T85
Haotong Li
+2
18/18
25%
13.4
-5.8
T85
Angel Ayora
+2
18/18
25%
13.3
-5.7
T85
Daniel Hillier
+2
18/18
25%
13.2
-5.7
T85
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
+2
18/18
25%
13.2
-5.7
T85
Marco Penge
+2
18/18
25%
12.9
-5.6
T85
Frederic LaCroix
+2
18/18
25%
10.5
-4.5
T106
Sam Burns
+3
18/18
16%
15.3
-6.5
T106
Wyndham Clark
+3
18/18
16%
15.2
-6.6
T106
Harris English
+3
18/18
16%
14.7
-6.2
T106
Jordan Spieth
+3
18/18
16%
13.5
-5.8
T106
Jason Day
+3
18/18
16%
12.7
-5.4
T106
Michael Kim
+3
18/18
16%
12.6
-5.3
T106
Cameron Smith
+3
18/18
16%
12.4
-5.3
T106
Andrew Novak
+3
18/18
16%
12.2
-5.2
T106
Casey Jarvis
+3
18/18
16%
12.2
-5.3
T106
Jesper Svensson
+3
18/18
16%
11.1
-4.8
T106
Alistair Docherty
+3
18/18
16%
9.1
-4
T106
Peter Uihlein
+3
18/18
16%
8.5
-3.7
T128
Brian Harman
+4
18/18
10%
12.1
-5.2
T128
David Puig
+4
18/18
10%
10.7
-4.7
T128
Stewart Cink
+4
18/18
10%
10.5
-4.5
T128
Francesco Laporta
+4
18/18
10%
8.9
-3.8
T135
Justin Rose
+5
18/18
6%
13
-5.5
T135
Matt McCarty
+5
18/18
6%
10.2
-4.4
T135
Scott Vincent
+5
18/18
6%
9.4
-4
T142
Joaquin Niemann
+6
18/18
4%
12.1
-5.1
T142
Eric Cole
+6
18/18
4%
10.5
-4.5
T142
Max Greyserman
+6
18/18
4%
10.1
-4.3
T142
Daniel Berger
+6
18/18
4%
9.5
-4
T148
Harry Hall
+7
18/18
2%
10.1
-4.3
T148
Matthew Jordan
+7
18/18
2%
8.7
-3.7
154
Gary Woodland
+8
18/18
1%
9.5
-4
156
Padraig Harrington
+10
18/18
0%
7.7
-3.3
REMAINING DK is the model's re-projection of DraftKings points still to come; Δ VS PACE compares it to the player's pre-event projection pro-rated to the same holes.
VALUE SCANNER
Where the model and the books split.
EVENT
MARKET
MODEL / MKT
EDGE
CONF
STATUS
The Open Championship
J. Rose Top 20
32.9% / 5.3%
+27.6pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
J. Niemann Top 20
28.6% / 2.4%
+26.2pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
S. Burns Top 20
33.6% / 14.3%
+19.3pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
H. English Top 20
26.7% / 7.7%
+19.0pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
M. Fitzpatrick Top 20
51.2% / 33.3%
+17.9pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
E. Cole Top 20
18.0% / 1.1%
+16.9pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
J. Rose Top 10
19.2% / 2.4%
+16.7pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
B. Harman Top 20
19.6% / 3.9%
+15.7pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
W. Clark Top 20
31.8% / 16.7%
+15.2pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
R. McIlroy Top 20
57.6% / 42.7%
+14.8pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
M. Greyserman Top 20
15.7% / 1.1%
+14.6pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
H. Hall Top 20
15.5% / 1.3%
+14.2pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
J. Day Top 20
18.5% / 5.3%
+13.3pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
J. Spieth Top 20
20.8% / 7.7%
+13.1pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
M. McCarty Top 20
14.4% / 1.4%
+12.9pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
G. Woodland Top 20
14.0% / 1.3%
+12.7pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
M. Kim Top 20
16.0% / 3.5%
+12.6pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
J. Niemann Top 10
13.6% / 1.0%
+12.6pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
H. Matsuyama Top 20
24.2% / 11.8%
+12.4pp
HIGH
LOCKED
The Open Championship
M. Fitzpatrick Top 10
32.2% / 20.0%
+12.2pp
HIGH
LOCKED
Model probability vs the de-vig consensus, live. In-play divergences are reads, not pre-lock picks — the graded record is on the golf page.