LIVE TAPE
LIVE · Viktor Hovland -15 thru 18 · Δ +10··LIVE · Ryan Gerard -14 thru 18 · Δ +5.2··LIVE · Adam Scott -12 thru 18 · Δ +2··LIVE · Chris Gotterup -12 thru 18 · Δ +0.7··LIVE · Ludvig Aberg -12 thru 18 · Δ -0.2··LIVE · Scottie Scheffler -12 thru 18 · Δ -4.9
GOLF · LIVE RE-PROJECTION · ROUND 1
Live · TOUR Championship.
Live standings joined to the model's re-projected remaining DK points — who's on pace, who's beating their pre-event number, and who's fading. Refreshes with every loop run during play.
THE BOARD
Standings, re-projected.
| POS ↑ | PLAYER | SCORE | THRU | P(WEEKEND) | REMAINING DK | Δ VS PACE |
|---|
| 1 | Viktor Hovland | -15 | 18/18 | 100% | 76.6 | +10 |
| 2 | Ryan Gerard | -14 | 18/18 | 100% | 67.7 | +5.2 |
| T3 | Scottie Scheffler | -12 | 18/18 | 100% | 79.5 | -4.9 |
| T3 | Ludvig Aberg | -12 | 18/18 | 100% | 68.9 | -0.2 |
| T3 | Chris Gotterup | -12 | 18/18 | 100% | 66.5 | +0.7 |
| T3 | Adam Scott | -12 | 18/18 | 100% | 63.7 | +2 |
| T7 | Rory McIlroy | -10 | 18/18 | 100% | 65.3 | -9.3 |
| T7 | Cameron Young | -10 | 18/18 | 100% | 60.2 | -7.1 |
| T9 | Sam Burns | -9 | 18/18 | 99% | 58.1 | -9.4 |
| T9 | Russell Henley | -9 | 18/18 | 99% | 55.9 | -8.4 |
| T9 | Min Woo Lee | -9 | 18/18 | 99% | 53.3 | -7.2 |
| T9 | Jacob Bridgeman | -9 | 18/18 | 99% | 51.9 | -6.6 |
| T13 | Matt Fitzpatrick | -8 | 18/18 | 99% | 54.6 | -12.4 |
| T13 | Si Woo Kim | -8 | 18/18 | 99% | 54.1 | -12.2 |
| T13 | Justin Rose | -8 | 18/18 | 99% | 50.1 | -10.4 |
| T16 | Tommy Fleetwood | -7 | 18/18 | 98% | 53.4 | -14.5 |
| T16 | Collin Morikawa | -7 | 18/18 | 98% | 53 | -14.3 |
| T16 | Wyndham Clark | -7 | 18/18 | 98% | 51.9 | -13.9 |
| T16 | Tom Kim | -7 | 18/18 | 98% | 48 | -12.2 |
| T16 | Alex Fitzpatrick | -7 | 18/18 | 98% | 45.5 | -11.1 |
| 21 | Ryan Fox | -6 | 18/18 | 96% | 40.5 | -12.4 |
| T22 | Xander Schauffele | -5 | 18/18 | 94% | 52.8 | -18.2 |
| T22 | Gary Woodland | -5 | 18/18 | 94% | 42.4 | -13.8 |
| T22 | Akshay Bhatia | -5 | 18/18 | 94% | 40.7 | -13.1 |
| T25 | Patrick Cantlay | -4 | 18/18 | 90% | 47.2 | -17.5 |
| T25 | Hideki Matsuyama | -4 | 18/18 | 90% | 45.2 | -16.6 |
| T25 | Robert MacIntyre | -4 | 18/18 | 90% | 42.3 | -15.4 |
| T28 | Alex Smalley | -3 | 18/18 | 84% | 37.8 | -14.8 |
| T28 | Kristoffer Reitan | -3 | 18/18 | 84% | 37.5 | -14.8 |
REMAINING DK is the model's re-projection of DraftKings points still to come; Δ VS PACE compares it to the player's pre-event projection pro-rated to the same holes.
VALUE SCANNER
Where the model and the books split.
| EVENT | MARKET | US / BOOKS | EDGE | SURE? | STATUS |
|---|
| TOUR Championship | H. Matsuyama Top 20 | 74.3% / 33.0% | +41.3 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | X. Schauffele Top 10 | 58.3% / 19.0% | +39.3 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | P. Cantlay Top 10 | 47.0% / 13.1% | +33.8 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | H. Matsuyama Top 10 | 38.9% / 5.7% | +33.2 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | R. McIlroy Top 10 | 61.1% / 28.4% | +32.6 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | K. Reitan Top 20 | 54.6% / 24.2% | +30.3 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | X. Schauffele Top 5 | 34.3% / 5.9% | +28.4 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | P. Cantlay Top 20 | 82.1% / 54.0% | +28.1 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | R. McIlroy Top 5 | 37.7% / 10.7% | +27.0 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | X. Schauffele Top 20 | 87.1% / 61.8% | +25.4 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | S. Kim Top 10 | 40.3% / 17.5% | +22.8 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | K. Reitan Top 10 | 25.2% / 3.7% | +21.5 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | T. Fleetwood Top 10 | 48.1% / 27.5% | +20.5 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | P. Cantlay Top 5 | 23.4% / 3.6% | +19.8 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | H. Matsuyama Top 5 | 19.5% / 1.2% | +18.3 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | S. Kim Top 20 | 77.7% / 60.7% | +17.0 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | T. Fleetwood Top 5 | 25.2% / 9.9% | +15.3 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | S. Kim Top 5 | 19.3% / 5.0% | +14.3 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | R. McIlroy Top 20 | 87.9% / 74.6% | +13.3 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
| TOUR Championship | W. Clark Top 5 | 20.3% / 9.8% | +10.5 pts vs the book | HIGH | PRE-LOCK |
H. Matsuyama Top 20
TOUR Championship
+41.3 pts vs the book74.3% / 33.0%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS74.3% / 33.0%
EDGE+41.3 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
X. Schauffele Top 10
TOUR Championship
+39.3 pts vs the book58.3% / 19.0%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS58.3% / 19.0%
EDGE+39.3 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
P. Cantlay Top 10
TOUR Championship
+33.8 pts vs the book47.0% / 13.1%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS47.0% / 13.1%
EDGE+33.8 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
H. Matsuyama Top 10
TOUR Championship
+33.2 pts vs the book38.9% / 5.7%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS38.9% / 5.7%
EDGE+33.2 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
R. McIlroy Top 10
TOUR Championship
+32.6 pts vs the book61.1% / 28.4%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS61.1% / 28.4%
EDGE+32.6 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
K. Reitan Top 20
TOUR Championship
+30.3 pts vs the book54.6% / 24.2%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS54.6% / 24.2%
EDGE+30.3 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
X. Schauffele Top 5
TOUR Championship
+28.4 pts vs the book34.3% / 5.9%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS34.3% / 5.9%
EDGE+28.4 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
P. Cantlay Top 20
TOUR Championship
+28.1 pts vs the book82.1% / 54.0%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS82.1% / 54.0%
EDGE+28.1 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
R. McIlroy Top 5
TOUR Championship
+27.0 pts vs the book37.7% / 10.7%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS37.7% / 10.7%
EDGE+27.0 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
X. Schauffele Top 20
TOUR Championship
+25.4 pts vs the book87.1% / 61.8%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS87.1% / 61.8%
EDGE+25.4 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
S. Kim Top 10
TOUR Championship
+22.8 pts vs the book40.3% / 17.5%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS40.3% / 17.5%
EDGE+22.8 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
K. Reitan Top 10
TOUR Championship
+21.5 pts vs the book25.2% / 3.7%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS25.2% / 3.7%
EDGE+21.5 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
T. Fleetwood Top 10
TOUR Championship
+20.5 pts vs the book48.1% / 27.5%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS48.1% / 27.5%
EDGE+20.5 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
P. Cantlay Top 5
TOUR Championship
+19.8 pts vs the book23.4% / 3.6%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS23.4% / 3.6%
EDGE+19.8 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
H. Matsuyama Top 5
TOUR Championship
+18.3 pts vs the book19.5% / 1.2%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS19.5% / 1.2%
EDGE+18.3 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
S. Kim Top 20
TOUR Championship
+17.0 pts vs the book77.7% / 60.7%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS77.7% / 60.7%
EDGE+17.0 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
T. Fleetwood Top 5
TOUR Championship
+15.3 pts vs the book25.2% / 9.9%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS25.2% / 9.9%
EDGE+15.3 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
S. Kim Top 5
TOUR Championship
+14.3 pts vs the book19.3% / 5.0%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS19.3% / 5.0%
EDGE+14.3 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
R. McIlroy Top 20
TOUR Championship
+13.3 pts vs the book87.9% / 74.6%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS87.9% / 74.6%
EDGE+13.3 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
W. Clark Top 5
TOUR Championship
+10.5 pts vs the book20.3% / 9.8%PRE-LOCK▾
EVENTTOUR Championship
US / THE BOOKS20.3% / 9.8%
EDGE+10.5 pts vs the book
CONFIDENCEHIGH
Model probability vs the de-vig consensus, live. In-play divergences are reads, not pre-lock picks — the graded record is on the
golf page.