The models
One engine per vertical, all graded against the same public record. The stat line on every card is that record — forming while the sample is thin, empty where no play has graded yet. The rules are in The Standard.
Shot-level simulation of every player in the field — course fit, wind wave, and putting variance. Our deepest model.
OPTIMIZER →Pitch-level matchup engine — plate discipline, bullpen fatigue, and the run environment, priced against the market.
OPTIMIZER →Round-level striking and grappling exchange model. Divergences are informational — the picks gate stays closed.
OPTIMIZER →Minutes-first projections with injury bumps, a floor and a ceiling on every player, and the slate optimizer.
OPTIMIZER →The GM layer: Decision Index, cap boards, and surplus value. The optimizer ships with the season.
THE MODEL →Walk-forward spread and total model vs the market. v0 — edges are noted divergences, never picks.
THE BOARD →Props, usage, pace, and injuries. In research — nothing publishes until the record can.
THE LAB →Goalie impact, shot volume, and totals. Goalie variance is still swamping every signal we find.
THE LAB →Qualifying, podium, and constructor simulation. Research only.
THE LAB →Track history, driver form, and the finishing distribution. Research only.
THE LAB →