Antetokounmpo debuts for Miami, and Ball and Anthony Edwards play their first game as a backcourt. Antetokounmpo averaged 27.6 points, 9.8 rebounds and 5.4 assists on 62.4% shooting last season, in 36 games and 28.9 minutes a night. Miami gave up Herro to get him and lost Norman Powell in free agency. It added Tim Hardaway Jr., who shot 40.7% from three, Bobby Portis, who shot 45.6%, and Klay Thompson. Minnesota went 49-33 and gave up Julius Randle and Naz Reid for Ball.
ESPN, citing GeniusIQ tracking, says the 2025-26 Heat set 20 picks per 100 possessions. The next-lowest team in the tracking era set 38. That offense now runs through a driver. If Minnesota sends help at Antetokounmpo, Andrew Wiggins, who shot 41.4% from three, and the new shooters get open looks. If it does not, Rudy Gobert, who averaged 11.5 rebounds, has to guard him one-on-one. Minnesota's frontcourt is thinner without Randle and Reid, and Jonathan Kuminga now starts at forward, per ESPN. Edwards averaged 28.8 points, third-most in the league per ESPN. Ball averaged 20.1 points, 7.1 assists and 3.8 made threes in 28.0 minutes for Charlotte, on 10.3 threes a game. Miami's answer is Davion Mitchell, Wiggins and Bam Adebayo, who averaged 20.1 points and 10.0 rebounds.
Donte DiVincenzo is out after right Achilles tendon surgery. He played all 82 games last season and made 3.0 threes a game. The rest of the report is on the chips above.