Player or teamMatchupMarket

388 player forecasts · 17 upcoming matchups

How to read these forecasts

College estimates use recorded games with relevant usage. Transfers, injuries and games with no usage can make that history unrepresentative. These are conditional research forecasts.

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MEM · WRConditional forecast

Alante Brown

Anytime touchdown

Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Oct 16, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.2
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 5 games

THE READ

A small sample has a big say

There are only 5 games with a carry or catch behind Alante Brown’s number. Those results run from 0 to 0 rushing or receiving touchdowns. That is too little history to treat 0.2 as a settled expectation.

38.5% of the final number comes from his 0.0 adjusted history; the rest comes from the 0.3 WR baseline. That blend raises the estimate by 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns.

3 of the 5 useful games were logged with other teams. MEM usage still needs a current check.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.0 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -5.7%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.4%
After those adjustments: 0.0 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 38.5%
WR baseline: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Aug 30, 2024, 7:00 PM ET to Oct 3, 2026, 11:00 AM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

TULN · WRConditional forecast

Anthony Brown-Stephens

Anytime touchdown

Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Oct 16, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.2
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 23 games

THE READ

Most of this history ended without a score

Anthony Brown-Stephens had no rushing or receiving touchdowns in 19 of 23 games with a carry or catch. That helps explain the 0.2 expected touchdowns. A fractional touchdown is an average, not the probability of scoring a rushing or receiving touchdown.

The model weights recent results more heavily, producing 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns before opponent context and the position blend. Goal-line carries, red-zone targets and this week’s role are not verified inputs here.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -6.3%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.4%
After those adjustments: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 74.2%
WR baseline: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Sep 7, 2024, 3:30 PM ET to Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

MEM · WRConditional forecast

Brady Kluse

Anytime touchdown

Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Oct 16, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.2
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 19 games

THE READ

A new score against a mostly scoreless history

Brady Kluse recorded 1 rushing or receiving touchdowns against Charlotte 49ers on Oct 3, 2026. That result counts more heavily than older games, but 16 of his 19 games with a carry or catch still ended without a score.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -5.7%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.4%
After those adjustments: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 70.4%
WR baseline: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Sep 21, 2024, 3:30 PM ET to Oct 3, 2026, 11:00 AM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

TULN · WRConditional forecast

Bredell Richardson

Anytime touchdown

Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Oct 16, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.2
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 5 games

THE READ

A small sample has a big say

There are only 5 games with a carry or catch behind Bredell Richardson’s number. Those results run from 0 to 0 rushing or receiving touchdowns. That is too little history to treat 0.2 as a settled expectation.

38.5% of the final number comes from his 0.0 adjusted history; the rest comes from the 0.3 WR baseline. That blend raises the estimate by 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.0 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -6.3%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.4%
After those adjustments: 0.0 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 38.5%
WR baseline: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Sep 5, 2026, 3:30 PM ET to Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

TULN · WRConditional forecast

Cash Semonza

Anytime touchdown

Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Oct 16, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.2
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 3 games

THE READ

A small sample has a big say

There are only 3 games with a carry or catch behind Cash Semonza’s number. Those results run from 0 to 0 rushing or receiving touchdowns. That is too little history to treat 0.2 as a settled expectation.

27.3% of the final number comes from his 0.0 adjusted history; the rest comes from the 0.3 WR baseline. That blend raises the estimate by 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.0 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -6.3%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.4%
After those adjustments: 0.0 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 27.3%
WR baseline: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Sep 5, 2026, 3:30 PM ET to Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

MEM · RBConditional forecast

Dallan Hayden

Anytime touchdown

Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Oct 16, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.2
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 24 games

THE READ

A score would be the exception in this sample

Across 24 games with a carry or catch, Dallan Hayden recorded rushing or receiving touchdowns in just 3. The 0.2 estimate reflects a low expected count. It does not establish the value of a bet at this line.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -5.7%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.4%
After those adjustments: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 75.0%
RB baseline: 0.4 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Aug 29, 2024, 8:00 PM ET to Oct 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

TULN · TEConditional forecast

Dawson Johnson

Anytime touchdown

Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Oct 16, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.1
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 11 games

THE READ

A score would be the exception in this sample

Across 11 games with a carry or catch, Dawson Johnson recorded rushing or receiving touchdowns in just 1. The 0.1 estimate reflects a low expected count. It does not establish the value of a bet at this line.

The model weights recent results more heavily, producing 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns before opponent context and the position blend. Goal-line carries, red-zone targets and this week’s role are not verified inputs here.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -6.3%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.4%
After those adjustments: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 57.9%
TE baseline: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Sep 6, 2025, 6:00 PM ET to Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 12, 2026, 10:08 PM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

TULN · WRConditional forecast

Destyn Hill

Anytime touchdown

Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Oct 16, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.2
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 6 games

THE READ

Most of this history ended without a score

Destyn Hill had no rushing or receiving touchdowns in 5 of 6 games with a carry or catch. That helps explain the 0.2 expected touchdowns. A fractional touchdown is an average, not the probability of scoring a rushing or receiving touchdown.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -6.3%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.4%
After those adjustments: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 42.9%
WR baseline: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Nov 15, 2025, 12:45 PM ET to Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

TULN · WRConditional forecast

Garrett Mmahat

Anytime touchdown

Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Oct 16, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.1
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 8 games

THE READ

No scores in the recorded sample

Garrett Mmahat has no rushing or receiving touchdowns in the 8 games with a carry or catch available here. The nonzero 0.1 forecast comes from blending that history with the position baseline; it is not evidence of an established scoring role.

The position baseline supplies 50.0% of this forecast. There is no verified goal-line or red-zone role to support treating that mathematical allowance as a scoring recommendation.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.0 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -6.3%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.4%
After those adjustments: 0.0 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 50.0%
WR baseline: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Oct 9, 2025, 7:30 PM ET to Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

MEM · TEConditional forecast

Hunter Tipton

Anytime touchdown

Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Oct 16, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.6
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–2.0
History with relevant usage: 21 games

THE READ

A new score against a mostly scoreless history

Hunter Tipton recorded 1 rushing or receiving touchdowns against UAB on Oct 10, 2026. That result counts more heavily than older games, but 14 of his 21 games with a carry or catch still ended without a score.

The model weights recent results more heavily, producing 0.8 rushing or receiving touchdowns before opponent context and the position blend. Goal-line carries, red-zone targets and this week’s role are not verified inputs here.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.8 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -5.7%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.4%
After those adjustments: 0.7 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 72.4%
TE baseline: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.6 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Sep 21, 2024, 7:00 PM ET to Oct 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 12, 2026, 10:08 PM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

MEM · WRConditional forecast

Jadon Thompson

Anytime touchdown

Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Oct 16, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.2
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 10 games

THE READ

The date matters here

Jadon Thompson’s latest recorded rushing or receiving touchdowns result is 0 against NC State Wolfpack, on Dec 19, 2025. The 0.2 forecast is carrying older production forward; it is not evidence of this season’s role.

The weighted history is 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns; opponent context takes it to 0.1. The 0.2 forecast keeps 55.6% of that estimate and blends the remainder with the WR baseline.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -5.7%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.4%
After those adjustments: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 55.6%
WR baseline: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Aug 31, 2024, 12:00 PM ET to Dec 19, 2025, 2:30 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

MEM · RBConditional forecast

Jaylin Carter

Anytime touchdown

Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Oct 16, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.8
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–2.0
History with relevant usage: 15 games

THE READ

Most of this history ended without a score

Jaylin Carter had no rushing or receiving touchdowns in 8 of 15 games with a carry or catch. That helps explain the 0.8 expected touchdowns. A fractional touchdown is an average, not the probability of scoring a rushing or receiving touchdown.

The model weights recent results more heavily, producing 1.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns before opponent context and the position blend. Goal-line carries, red-zone targets and this week’s role are not verified inputs here.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 1.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -5.7%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.4%
After those adjustments: 1.0 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 65.2%
RB baseline: 0.4 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.8 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Sep 6, 2025, 5:00 PM ET to Oct 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 12, 2026, 10:08 PM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

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TULN · WRConditional forecast

Anthony Brown-Stephens

Anytime touchdown

Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Oct 16, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.2
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 23 games

THE READ

Most of this history ended without a score

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -6.3%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.4%
After those adjustments: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 74.2%
WR baseline: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Sep 7, 2024, 3:30 PM ET to Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.